US
energy reserves in the form of natural gas are about 80% larger than its
petroleum reserves. Future drilling will
add modestly to either reserve with the likelihood that new natural gas
reserves will be more significant.
T.
Boone Pickens is proposing to use more natural gas as fuel for automobiles. His ads are gaining traction and many people
are beginning to ask themselves if a Compressed Natural Gas or CNG powered car
is in their future.
The
answer depends on knowing three simple facts; is CNG really much less expensive
than gasoline, is CNG readily available, and are commercial cars with bi-fuel
capability available for sale? The
answers are yes, no, yes.
Natural
gas can be offered at a significantly lower price than gasoline. In a recent ad by a large gas company a price
of $2.04 per GGE was offered for CNG while the comparable price for regular gasoline
was shown at $3.46 per gallon. The
energy content of compressed natural gas is quoted in “Gallon of Gas Equivalent”
or GGE. This is a new measuring unit,
which is based on the energy content of the dispensed gas. By basing the price of CNG on its energy
content, one can compare energy prices of CNG and gasoline directly. This is by far the best approach for the
customer who can compare prices for two equal amounts of energy, one for a gas,
the other one for gasoline. Measuring
the dispensed amount of CNG is more difficult than measuring an equivalent amount
of gasoline. However, a precise
measurement can be made. Installing a
CNG measuring device is just more expensive than its gasoline counterpart.
At
present, there are almost no fueling stations equipped to dispense CNG. The natural gas industry will have to make
considerable investments before a sufficient number of fueling stations will be
locally available. If you are the lucky
one who lives close to such a new station, you should seriously consider buying
a new car with bi-fuel capability. For
local driving one uses CNG, for long distance traveling one continues to depend
on gasoline. By having two fuel tanks on
board, one for CNG, the other for gasoline, the driver can select the fuel he
wants to use.
Existing
cars can also be converted. Cars burning
compressed natural gas will perform flawlessly without any performance handicap. However, the conversion of a gasoline powered
car is expensive and the large, high pressure cylinders for storing CNG must be
installed in the car’s trunk when retrofitting.
A
few car manufacturers are already offering vehicles equipped to use both fuels,
CNG and gasoline. One can either use the
one or the other fuel. An immediate changeover
can be made by toggling a simple switch.
In the US Honda is already offering its Civic GX model. Volkswagen, Opel, Mercedes, and Fiat are
selling bi-fuel models in Europe. Other Europeans are making CNG powered models,
too. American carmakers are sure to
follow.
There
are two remaining questions. How much
natural gas reserves does the US
possess and how reliable are early price signals? After all, imported natural gas is sold
mostly by OPEC countries and the US is already importing small
amounts of natural gas.
Available
data puts US natural gas reserves at 230 tcf (trillion cubic feet). Present consumption is about 2 tcf
annually. Consumption of natural gas
will obviously sharply increase once CNG is used widely in automobiles and will
also continue its annual rise as overall US energy consumption continues to
grow. Annual natural gas consumption may
soon grow close to 4 tcf. With this rate
of consumption known natural gas reserves will last for more than fifty years.
When
buying a bi-fuel car we need to convince ourselves that CNG prices will stay
stable and competitive in order to recover the higher purchase price of the
bi-fuel equipped car. The natural gas
industry has been using recent increases in the price of heating oil to
significantly increase the price of natural gas. How can we make a realistic estimate about
future price stability of CNG? Past
history shows that the pipeline companies that sell natural gas to local
distribution utilities were setting prices based on the same cut-throat
practices used by OPEC.
Realistically,
we do not have any effective protection from similar pricing policies in the
future. We can therefore, expect that
the advertised lower CNG energy prices will not last forever.
Only
US Congress can step in and protect the consumer from exploitation. After all, gas companies are positioning
themselves to ask US Congress to make CNG available as transportation
fuel. We already know that the national
oil industry is closely adhering to the OPEC lead when pricing domestically
produced gasoline and diesel. US
Congress must find the backbone and prohibit collusive price manipulation on
the national level. The US
administration must be especially careful with providing tax incentives or any
other incentives for natural gas powered cars.
Such incentives should only be considered if commensurate consumer
protection provisions are part of the deal.