The
Copenhagen Climate Conference in December of last year emphasized once more
that climate changes are occurring because of advancing industrialization and of
compounding population growth. Continuing
combustion of fossil fuels, grazing cattle, deforestation, thawing permafrost,
and beetle infestations are some of the leading causes of new greenhouse gas
emissions.
The media
report regularly on the effects of accumulating greenhouse gases by referring
to only one of its many effects; the effect of global warming. It is not incidental that they report on the
most minor manifestation of atmospheric greenhouse gas accumulation. During the last two centuries, average global
temperatures have increased by less than one degree Celsius or less than two
degrees Fahrenheit. Such a small
increase is not perceptible to most humans.
In fact, inhabitants of northern latitudes consider moderate warming as
a most welcome benefit.
Instead, the
destructive effects of greenhouse gas accumulation show themselves in several
other, more convincing incarnations.
Glaciers on mountains and in the
Climate
changes are another major threat.
Climatologists are not quite certain about the extent of changes that
very small deviations of historic local and global temperatures will have in
the future. Observations over the last
several decades have established clearly that the number and the effects of
violent weather in the form of heat waves, severe floods, violent windstorms, and
long-lasting droughts are on the rise.
Other
consequences relate to changes that are still partially hidden. It is becoming increasingly clear that
modestly elevated temperatures cause local climate changes and have a
pronounced and undeniable effect on the local biosphere. Animal and plant species are driven to
extinction by local and regional climate changes. This effect is still moderate but seems to
become more widespread.
In view of
all these observations many climatologists even are concerned that other, major
“tipping points” can be induced potentially by the additive effects of
accumulating greenhouse gases in our atmosphere. The deflection of the
Despite all
these telling observations and despite independent, scientific computations
that greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will interfere with energy flows from
the Sun to our Earth and with energy losses from the Earth to Outer Space, many
individuals still deny the interference of greenhouse gases on global and local
climates.
What can and
must be done to eliminate the growing dangers of irreparable harm to ecosystems
and to climate systems of planet Earth?
Unfortunately,
there is only one realistic option. The
world community must stop all fossil fuel burning in the very near future. Only by such drastic measures can major
damages to world economies be prevented.
Early in
2010, there is nobody who knows the level of greenhouse gases that must be
maintained for preventing coastal inundation and serious climate
deterioration. Most likely, that level
will be in the range of 300 ppm to 350 ppm carbon of dioxide in the atmosphere.
On the
other hand, a sudden stoppage of fossil fuel burning will have ruinous
consequences on world economies if not implemented very carefully and with much
preparation and planning. It is
mandatory that world economies continue their uninterrupted growth in view of
growing populations. This means that
plentiful and affordable replacement energies must become available before the
use of fossil fuels can be halted.
Conservation
measures, carbon taxes, and cap and trade measures cannot stop carbon dioxide
emissions. Only the replacement of
fossil fuels with renewable energy sources can accomplish that non-negotiable
result.
When
committing suicide in a closed garage, it does not matter if one keeps a Rolls
Royce or a Beetle running. Cap and trade
measures can only delay but not prevent the day of reckoning.
The window
of opportunity for preventing the worst consequences of an overheating Earth is
closing fast. At best, world economies
have fifty years left for stopping all carbon dioxide emissions from fossil
fuels. Emissions of other greenhouse
gases must be halted by stopping them at the source.
There is
only one other measure that may relieve greenhouse gas accumulation eventually;
we must learn to retrieve carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Inventors need to be challenged and supported
to develop a process for cleaning carbon dioxide from the atmosphere without
using large amounts of energy.